After Reuters decided to “correct” away Trump’s last massive lead in their national poll, Trump has retaken the lead anyway. Remember kids, this is the last thing they’d want to be true!
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has pulled into an effective tie with Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, erasing a substantial deficit as he consolidated support among his party’s likely voters in recent weeks, according to the latest Reuters/Ipsos national tracking poll released Friday.
The poll showed 40 percent of likely voters supporting Trump and 39 percent backing Clinton for the week of Aug. 26 to Sept. 1. Clinton’s support has dropped steadily in the weekly tracking poll since Aug. 25, eliminating what had been a eight-point lead for her.
Trump’s gains came as Republican support for their party’s candidate jumped by six percentage points over the past two weeks, to about 78 percent. That is still below the 85 percent support Republican nominee Mitt Romney enjoyed in the summer of 2012, but the improvement helps explain Trump’s rise in the poll.
Well, one would certainly hope 7% of Republican voters aren’t such cucked up poopyheads they would vote for Romney but not for Trump. But also, Trump looks to pull 15% of blacks, a tiny fraction yet almost double what Republicans usually get. And if black disaffection with mestizos gets the best of them, that number could even grow. More importantly, Bernie voters and White Democrats who care about their future will surely continue to tune in.
In the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, more than 20 percent of likely voters opted for a choice other than the two major nominees, whether an alternative candidate, “would not vote” or “unsure.” That figure is significantly higher than the 10 percent to 14 percent of respondents who answered similarly at this point in the 2012 campaign. Both President Barack Obama and Republican rival Mitt Romney enjoyed substantially stronger support at this point in the summer of 2012 than either Trump or Clinton does now.
I can’t imagine too many people will seriously waste their vote window shopping over Gary Johnson or Jill Stein, especially as these two are perpetual also-rans. Though sadly one does sometimes find the disaffected millennial or Camille Paglia saying nice things about them.
And while Trump has consolidated his support among Republicans, likely voters are expressing an increasingly sour view of Clinton: The share of likely voters with an unfavorable view of the former secretary of state has grown to 57 percent, compared with Trump’s 54 percent, her worst showing on that metric in a month.
And even the MSM seems to be giving greater mileage to her email/Blackberry/I can’t remember scandals. Her favorables can’t improve, but Trump’s score on the Mexican heads of state meeting followed by his adamantly restrictionist immigration address show a man already looking successfully statesmanlike and ready-to-go.